Skip to main content

The 11-Month High Rise Rate of UK Inflation in December

The UK's inflation rate went up to an 11-month high in December, with a sharp rise in air fares offsetting falling food and clothing prices. The Consumer Prices Index measured the rate rose to 0.2%, from November's 0.1%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

It is the first time in a year that the rate has exceeded 0.1%, and the rise is higher than economists had expected.

Air fares jumped 46% in December, the biggest rise for 13 years.

December typically sees a high monthly increase in air fares, due to the Christmas holidays, but the ONS said this jump was the highest since 2002.

But it warned that air prices were "highly variable" and said a November-to-December increase of more than 40% was not unusual.

Petrol prices, while lower than November, fell less than in the same period last year, so they also contributed to the rise in inflation, the ONS said.

This jump in transport costs was partially offset by a drop in alcohol, tobacco and food costs.


When will rates rise?

The Retail Prices Index, a separate measure that includes housing costs, grew by 1.2%, up from 1.1% in November.

Monthly inflation has been between -0.1% and 0.1% for the past 11 months, with low oil prices and a fiercely competitive environment for supermarkets keeping prices down for consumers.

For 2015 as a whole, consumer price inflation averaged 0%, its lowest level since comparable records began in 1950.

Latest minutes from the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which voted 8-1 to keep rates at their current historic 0.5% low, showed that members expect inflation to remain far below its 2% target for some time yet.

December's inflation figures will further dampen expectations of a rise in interest rates any time soon.

Most economists now believe that it could be the third quarter of this year, or even 2017, before there is any movement in interest rates.

"There aren't yet any signs which will worry the MPC. Inflation looks set to rise further over the coming months as sharp falls in petrol and food prices at the beginning of 2015 drop out of the calculation," said Scott Bowman, UK economist at Capital Economics.

"The MPC will be in no rush to push through the first rate hike."

Ben Brettell, senior economist at Hargreaves Lansdown, agreed, saying: "This continues the trend of inflation being at or very close to zero and places little pressure on the Bank of England to lift interest rates. Those hoping for higher rates on this side of the Atlantic shouldn't hold their breath."

Source : BBC

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Nigerian army Claims the Second Rescue of Chibok Girl

A second schoolgirl that was seized in the Nigerian town of Chibok has been found, the army says. But a spokesman for the Chibok girls' parents has cast doubt on the claims, saying that the girl's name is not on the families' list of those missing. An army spokesman said Serah Luka was among a group of 97 women and children rescued by troops in the north-east. Islamist militant group Boko Haram has abducted thousands of other girls in recent years, rights groups estimate. This comes two days after the rescue of the first Chibok girl, Amina Ali Nkeki. The army has previously given misleading statements about the rescue of the Chibok girls - in its initial statement after Ms Nkeki was found, it used a wrong name. In all, 218 girls remain missing after their abduction by the Boko Haram Islamist group from Chibok secondary school in north-eastern Nigeria in 2014. Ms Nkeki told a Chibok community leader that six of the kidnapped girls had died, but...

EgyptAir Flight 804 Dissapears With 66 People Aboard

EgyptAir Flight 804 vanished from radar on Paris to Cairo route with 66 people aboard. The plane was flying at 37,000 feet when it lost contact overnight above the Mediterranean Sea, the airline tweeted. French President Francois Hollande said he was told the flight crashed, but Egyptian Civil Aviation Minister Sharif Fathi said he preferred to classify the flight as missing. "We do not deny there is a possibility of terrorism or deny the possibility of technical fault," Fathi said at a Cairo news conference. "I will continue to use the term missing plane until we find any debris." Later at the same news conference, he indicated that while there were "no known security issues" with passengers aboard the plane, the probability of terrorism downing it is higher than the likelihood of a mechanical cause. "I don't want to go to speculation. I don't want to go to assumptions like others. But if you analyze this situation prop...

Ted Cruz Loses Over Three Consecutive Trump Victories

Real estate mogul Donald Trump received victory over top rivals Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) and Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) in Tuesday's Nevada GOP caucus, setting up a particularly difficult road ahead for Cruz. Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) speaks during a campaign event in Las Vegas on Monday. (JOSH EDELSON via Getty Images on Monday)   Trump has now won three straight state contests and appears to be barreling toward the Republican presidential nomination, while Cruz has only won one state, Iowa. Cruz's campaign had hoped to eke out a win in Nevada based on the strength of his political organization and ground game, which helped lead him to a similar victory in the Iowa caucus earlier this month. The caucus format relies on turning out voters who are engaged enough to spend several hours participating in the political process. By contrast, Trump has lagged behind Cruz and Rubio in his organizing efforts, and political observers expre...